Sunday, March 09, 2008

senseks

w is SENSEX calculated? SENSEX is calculated using a "Market Capitalization-Weighted" methodology. As per this methodology, the level of index at any point of time reflects the total market value of 30 component stocks relative to a base period. (The market capitalization of a company is determined by multiplying the price of its stock by the number of shares issued by the company). An index of a set of a combined variables (such as price and number of shares) is commonly referred as a 'Composite Index' by statisticians. A single indexed number is used to represent the results of this calculation in order to make the value easier to work with and track over time. It is much easier to graph a chart based on indexed values than one based on actual values. The base period of SENSEX is 1978-79. The actual total market value of the stocks in the Index during the base period has been set equal to an indexed value of 100. This is often indicated by the notation 1978-79=100. The formula used to calculate the Index is fairly straightforward. However, the calculation of the adjustments to the Index (commonly called Index maintenance) is more complex. The calculation of SENSEX involves dividing the total market capitalization of 30 companies in the Index by a number called the Index Divisor. The Divisor is the only link to the original base period value of the SENSEX. It keeps the Index comparable over time and is the adjustment point for all Index maintenance adjustments. During market hours, prices of the index scrips, at which latest trades are executed, are used by the trading system to calculate SENSEX every 15 seconds and disseminated in real time.How is the closing Index calculated? The closing SENSEX is computed taking the weighted average of all the trades on SENSEX constituents in the last 15 minutes of trading session. If a SENSEX constituent has not traded in the last 15 minutes, the last traded price is taken for computation of the Index closure. If a SENSEX constituent has not traded at all in a day, then its last day's closing price is taken for computation of Index closure. The use of Index Closure Algorithm prevents any intentional manipulation of the closing index value.How is the routine maintenance of SENSEX carried out? One of the important aspects of maintaining continuity with the past is to update the base year average. The base year value adjustment ensures that additional issue of capital and other corporate announcements like bonus etc. do not destroy the value of the index. The beauty of maintenance lies in the fact that adjustments for corporate actions in the Index should not per se affect the index values. The Index Cell of the Exchange does the day-to-day maintenance of the index within the broad index policy framework set by the Index Committee. The Index Cell takes special care to ensure that SENSEX and all the other BSE indices maintain their benchmark properties by striking a delicate balance between high turnover in Index scrips and its representative character. The Index Committee of the Exchange has experts from different field of finance related to the capital markets. They include Academicians, Fund-managers from leading Mutual Funds, Finance - Journalists, Market Participants, Independent Governing Board members, and Exchange administration.How are adjustments for Bonus, Rights and newly issued Capital carried out in SENSEX? The arithmetic calculation involved in calculating SENSEX is simple, but problem arises when one of the component stocks pays a bonus or issues rights shares. If no adjustments were made, a discontinuity would arise between the current value of the index and its previous value. The Index Cell of the Exchange periodically adjusts the base value to take care of such corporate announcements. Adjustments for Rights Issues: When a company, included in the compilation of the index, issues right shares, the market capitalisation of that company is increased by the number of additional shares issued based on the theoretical (ex-right) price. An offsetting or proportionate adjustment is then made to the Base Market Capitalisation (see ' Base Market Capitalisation Adjustment' below). Adjustments for Bonus Issue: When a company, included in the compilation of the index, issues bonus shares, the market capitalisation of that company does not undergo any change. Therefore, there is no change in the Base Market Capitalisation, only the 'number of shares' in the formula is updated. Other Issues: Base Market Capitalisation Adjustment is required when new shares are issued by way of conversion of debentures, mergers, spin-offs etc. or when equity is reduced by way of buy-back of shares, corporate restructuring etc. Base Market Capitalisation Adjustment: The formula for adjusting the Base Market Capitalisation is as follows: New Base Market Capitalisation = Old Base Market Capitalisation X (New Market Capitalisation/Old Market Capitalisation)To illustrate, suppose a company issues right shares which increases the market capitalisation of the shares of that company by say, Rs.100 crores. The existing Base Market Capitalisation (Old Base Market Capitalisation), say, is Rs.2450 crores and the aggregate market capitalisation of all the shares included in the index before the right issue is made is, say Rs.4781 crores. The "New Base Market Capitalisation " will then be: Rs.2501.24 crores = 2450 X (4781+100)/4781 This figure of 2501.24 will be used as the Base Market Capitalisation for calculating the index number from then onwards till the next base change becomes necessary.With what frequency is SENSEX calculation done? During market hours, prices of the index scrips, at which trades are executed, are automatically used by the trading computer to calculate the SENSEX every 15 seconds and continuously updated on all trading workstations connected to the BSE trading computer in real time.
What is EMA: EMA is used instead of simple MA where the time frame is large. The idea here is to give more weightage to recent data than to old data.

Gann Lines Gann lines are trend lines drawn from major tops and bottoms at specific angles. The most important angle is 45 degree and usually named as Gann line "one to one" (1X1) that means one change of price with one unit of time. Steeper Gann lines can be drawn at 63.75 degree and 75 degree. Lower degree Gann lines can also be drawn during a downtrend.According to Gann, the 45 degree Gann line represents a long term trend line. When prices are above the 45 degree Gann line, the market is considered as bullish. On the other hand when the prices are below the 45 degree Gann line, the market is considered bearishGann Fan Gann fan is created by drawing lines at different angles from an important base at price chart. Gann fan emphasized the following nine basic angles:1 X 8 = 82.5 degree 1 X 4 = 75.0 degree 1 X 3 = 71.25 degree 1 X 2 = 63.75 degree 1 X 1 = 45.0 degree 2 X 1 = 26.25 degree 3 X 1 = 18.75 degree 4 X 1 = 15.0 degree 8 X 1 = 7.5 degree Among the angles, the angle 1 X 1 is the most important angle. When prices are above the 45 degree Gann line, the market is considered as bullish. On the other hand when the prices are below the 45 degree Gann line, the market is considered bearish. Gann thought that the 45 degree Gann line is a strong support line in an uptrend market. When this line is breaking it can be considered as an important turn signal. The lines of Gann fan are served as support or resistance levels depending on the price trend. For example in an uptrend market, if prices cross over a line, prices are believed to be fall to the next lower line.

Tuesday, January 08, 2008

DCM shricon BRKOUT




DCM SHRIRAM CONSOLIDATE BREAK OUT
TRGET 125. STOP 93.

There was some news about DSCL in the early December that itis developing its Hydel Power Business and has set up a subsidiary namely DCM Shriram Infrastructure Ltd for pursuing this business. This Company has recently bagged a 108 MW Hydro Power Project at Chhatru in Himachal Pradesh under competitive bidding, and is progressing this project further

also watch lokesh machines


and ucal fuels